£2bn Lloyds Profit Triggers Stake Sale Talks

By Mark Kleinman, City Editor

The agency which manages taxpayers' £19bn stake in Lloyds Banking Group is expected to hold talks with City investors this week about a quick-fire sale of shares as Britain's biggest high street lender unveils a £2bn half-year profit.

Sky News understands that UK Financial Investments (UKFI) and the Treasury will discuss in the coming days the prospect of an accelerated placing of shares in Lloyds with major institutional investors on or around the day that Lloyds announces half-year results on Thursday.

Treasury sources said that the results would show a "stellar" first-half performance from the bank, which owns the Halifax brand and is in the process of spinning TSB off into a separately-listed company.

Lloyds, they said, would report a statutory profit of approximately £2bn - in line with the consensus forecast of analysts - and also provide further positive news in the form of better-than-expected cost reductions and a stronger-than-anticipated capital position.

The move into the black would contrast with a loss of more than £400m at the half-year stage in 2012.

"The stars are aligned for us to start selling shares now," said one Whitehall insider.

The Government is understood to believe that it has a window of a few days beginning on the day of Lloyds' results to place a chunk of stock before the markets slow down too far for the summer to make such a substantial transaction more difficult.

Lord Davies is assembling a consortium keen to buy part of Lloyds

If the discussions do not point to sufficient demand for an institutional placing of shares, the Government would postpone any attempt to begin selling its 39% stake in the bank until September at the earliest.

A Treasury spokesman said that no timetable for the sale of shares had been set and refused to comment on the prospect of a sale next week.

Earlier this month, UKFI hired JP Morgan Cazenove, the investment bank, to advise on its privatisation strategy for Lloyds and Royal Bank of Scotland, in which taxpayers hold an 82% stake.

The agency also appointed a roster of other banks to execute deals in the capital markets to sell down the shares in the two banks during the coming years.

One banker said on Saturday that a report suggesting that Lloyds was priming City investors for a sale was inaccurate, arguing that the deal would be orchestrated by UKFI rather than the bank itself.

The source added that it would be theoretically possible to brief a group of investors the night before the results announcement - making them insiders unable to trade in Lloyds shares - with the objective of announcing a deal alongside on Thursday.

Sky News revealed earlier this month that Lord Davies, the former trade minister, was assembling a consortium of investors keen to buy at least half of the Government's stake in Lloyds.

The half-year results are expected to include a modest new provision for payment protection insurance mis-selling, taking Lloyds' total bill so far to more than £7bn, one insider said.

However, unlike Barclays, the bank is not expected to have to set aside money to compensate small businesses for mis-selling interest rate swaps or customers of CPP, the identity theft insurer.

On Friday, Lloyds shares closed at 68.37p, which if sustained until after next week's results announcement would make a placing at or above 61p viable, banking sources said. Such a deal would be likely to take place at a discount to the prevailing share price.

The 61p figure is significant because Lloyds said in March that it had been notified by the Treasury that that was the average price at which taxpayers' support for Lloyds during the banking crisis had been recorded in the public finances.

Selling above that price would be significant for George Osborne, the Chancellor, because it would allow him to hail the return of funds injected by taxpayers into Lloyds after its initially disastrous merger with HBOS.

It would also be potentially meaningful for Antonio Horta-Osorio, Lloyds' chief executive, whose £1.48m deferred share bonus awarded in March will only vest under certain conditions, one of which is that at least one-third of the Government's shareholding is sold for at least 61p-per-share.

Lloyds declined to comment on Saturday.

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